Tin Demand Forecast (2016-2040)

Miningvisuals
Oct 7
3 min read

The following content is sponsored by Eloro Resources

Long associated with humble cans, tin is quietly becoming one of the most critical technology metals of our time. Propelled by the twin engines of decarbonization and digital advancements, the global market for tin is undergoing a radical transformation. According to industry analysis, demand for this forgotten metal is projected to double between 2016 and 2040¹.

The Backbone of the Digital Revolution

Tin's most significant role is serving as the "glue for a digital age." As the primary component in electronic solder, it is indispensable for holding together the circuit boards in everything from smartphones to data centers, accounting for 50% of its current demand.

This demand is set to accelerate. According to the International Tin Association (ITA, 2024), the semiconductor market is projected to grow at a 7% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) through 2030, ensuring a robust and growing need for tin to build the hardware of our increasingly connected world.

Fueling the Green Energy Transition

Tin is a key enabler in the global shift away from fossil fuels, playing a vital role in both renewable energy and electric mobility.

Solar Power: The expansion of solar energy is a direct driver of tin demand. While Solar PV accounted for 4.5% of global energy generation in 2022², its growth is explosive. Market forecasts indicate that renewables will contribute 80% of all new installed generation capacity by 2030³. This massive build-out of solar infrastructure will require a significant and growing supply of tin.
Electric Vehicles (EVs): The transition to electric mobility creates a step-change in tin consumption. An electric vehicle uses 2 to 3 times more tin than a conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle⁴. This figure notably excludes the additional tin required for the rollout of charging infrastructure. With market forecasts for EVs ranging from 30% to 60% of vehicle sales by 2030, the automotive sector is set to become a major driver of tin demand.

Looking ahead, emerging technologies like sodium-ion batteries, which have the potential to use tin in their anodes⁵, represent another significant future demand stream. As the world digitizes and decarbonizes, this once-overlooked metal is proving to be an essential component for building the future.

Sponsor

Eloro Resources Ltd. is a mineral exploration company advancing a world-class silver and tin project in Bolivia’s historic Potosí Department. Its flagship asset, the Iska Iska Project, ranks among the top five undeveloped global resources in terms of scale for both tin and silver.

This significant grassroots discovery remains open in multiple directions, offering substantial potential for continued expansion and resource enhancement. Iska Iska benefits from strong infrastructure access and a deeply rooted presence in Bolivia, supported by an experienced management team and meaningful community engagement.

Eloro’s strategy is focused on resource growth, strategic partnerships, and establishing a leading position within the global mining sector.

Learn more at elororesources.com.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article and the accompanying infographic is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. While MiningVisuals has made every effort to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the information presented, which is based on the sources cited, we do not guarantee its completeness or accuracy. Market forecasts, projections, and analyses are based on data available at the time of publication and are inherently subject to change due to various factors. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Sources:

¹ Demand Forecast to 2040: Alphamin Resources corporate presentation, referencing underlying data from the International Tin Association (ITA). ² Solar Energy Share (2022): Data consistent with reports from energy think tanks such as Ember ("Global Electricity Review"). ³ Renewables Capacity Forecast: Data consistent with forecasts from the International Energy Agency (IEA).

⁴ EV Tin Intensity: International Tin Association (ITA).

⁵ Sodium-ion Battery Potential: Analysis based on ongoing materials science research and market reports from the ITA.